Dashboard Guide
Interactive Projections Slider
3 scenarios
Source: AgentsPop As of: 2026-03-12

Model conservative, baseline, and aggressive AI growth and see projected crossover dates.

What the slider does

The interactive slider on the AgentsPop dashboard lets you project three AI growth scenarios and see projected crossover dates for three milestones simultaneously:

Moving the slider left (conservative) or right (aggressive) updates all three projected years simultaneously, showing how different assumptions cascade across all milestones.

The three scenarios

Conservative
Slow growth
Regulatory friction, AI investment plateau, or technical barriers slow deployment. Growth rates are ~50% of current trend. Timelines are roughly 2× longer than baseline.
Baseline
Current trend
Current compound growth rates continue with no major disruption or acceleration. The most likely scenario if the next 5 years look like the last 3.
Aggressive
Breakthrough
Cost collapse, capability jump, or mass-adoption event compresses timelines. Growth rates are ~2× current trend. Timelines are roughly half the baseline.

How to use the projections

Practical application

Don't treat any projection as a prediction. Use them to stress-test: are your business, career, or policy decisions robust to the conservative scenario? Would you be blindsided by the aggressive scenario? If the answers are "no" and "yes," you need a plan B.

The slider is most useful for team discussions about planning horizons. Setting it to "baseline" and reading off the crossover years gives a shared reference point for strategy.

Individual slider pages

Related stats